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henyfoxe
Jan 03, 2012

How much impact will the hard drive shortage have on the movement of consumers to the cloud?

If anyone has looked at prices for HDDs lately, they are still elevated as a result of the flooding of production facilities in Asia. This has driven down the relative cost of using cloud storage providers for SMBs, I would think. Is this going to be the financial push that moves people towards the cloud in an even bigger way that is currently occuring?

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rhames
01/04/2012

I agree with jimlynch that the impact will probably be limited.  The shortage will only last so long, although I have seen estimates from a couple months longer to the end of 2012 before production recovers and meets demand.  It might be more noticed by SMBs that had scheduled hardware replacement for this period when HDD prices are inflated, but let's face it, the price increase isn't really going to price purchasers out of the market.  The possibility of delay for custom build machines may come in to play to a small degree, but honestly, most of the people I know that buy/build their own machines are gamers, even the ones that don't admit the reason they are building that killer new desktop is because they want to play Skyrim at its higest resolution and detail.  

 

If you want to see how deeply ingrained Cloud Computing has become, I suggest watching the Super Bowl and counting the number of ads that use the term, "The Cloud".  I'm betting five or more.  

jimlynch
01/03/2012
I doubt it will have much effect. Most consumers won't even notice the higher prices unless they have to buy a new hard disk or system. As long as their existing drives keep working then they will just keep on keeping on.

However, if their hard disk dies then you might see a bit of a reaction. But I think most people will suck it up and just buy another disk. If they move to the cloud it will be for convenience and service rather than the cost of buying a new or replacement hard disk.

The cloud still have to prove itself to many people though. Security and data integrity must be proved before most consumers will be willing to trust their most private data to it. So I think the cloud still has a way to go before most consumers jump to it instead of keeping their data on local disks.
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