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JR Raphael
May 05, 2011

What technologies did you think were going to fail that ended up standing the test of time?

I recently wrote an article for ITworld about technologies that thrived despite high-profile predictions to the contrary (http://www.itworld.com/hardware/161565/6-premature-predictions-tech-failure). So how about you -- what technologies did you think were going to fail that ended up standing the test of time?

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LolaBelle
09/26/2014

Blu-ray. It was so expensive when it came out, and there really weren’t that many displays/TVs capable of showing off the increased resolution. I remember seeing a demo comparing it to DVD in a store and thinking, “Hmmm, that’s a little better, but it’s not a thousand dollars better.” Also, it was competing against another HD option, HD-DVD, which seemed to be a legitimate option developed by Toshiba. Ultimately, I think what pushed Blu-ray ahead was the Sony PS3. In addition to being the cheapest Blu-ray player at the time, at $600 (!), it allowed large games to be stored on a single disc, in contrast to Sony’s main gaming competition, Microsoft’s X360, with used standard DVD format discs and sometimes required disc swapping to play a game. Also, better TVs and displays became affordable and widely available, so that the increased detail offered by movies on Blu-ray could be appreciated.  

 

Once Blu-ray became established, I was not surprised to see it become a popular digital storage media for computers, so at least I’m not completely short-sighted. 

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