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If the Xbox One will still be available with the kinect (after they release the edition without it) , I think it`s a good move, since it will give people more options to choose from. Some people might not want the kinect anyway, so it`s a good way to save 100 bucks. I will not buy it either way, since I don`t play games that much. But if I had to choose one of the consoles, I think I would go with the ps4 because the ps3 had great exclusive titles like heavy rain and the last of us.
Kinect is not really vital to XBox One operation, has few compelling reason to use it, and has little 3rd party support. I suspect dropping it to lower the price to $400 will help sales significantly. However, there are going to be some mighty annoyed early adopters who are stuck with the more expensive original package that included Kinect.
They may also remove another “feature” that differentiates it from the competition: forcing people to purchase an XBox Gold membership to access Netflix, Hulu, etc. Just to be clear, I’m not talking about getting these services for free, I’m talking about being forced to pay Microsoft $60 EXTRA just to be able to watch them. If you want to know the one reason why I went with a PS3 over an X360 (it was the same deal with both generations of XBox), you just got it. I’m sure there were many people that made the same decision to go with PS4 over the One because of it. Honestly, I think this will help sales just as much, if not more, than dropping Kinect.